Leveraging Machine Learning Techniques for Predictive Analysis in Merger and Acquisition (M&A)

Table 1.

Literature review summary for the mergers andacquisitions (M&A) analysis

Authors & Year Focus/Objective Methodology Key Findings Tools/Techniques Limitations and Future Work

Yan, Nie, and Fan (2020) Verify the mechanism of due diligence impact on M&A performance using data from Chinese A-share market (2011–2018). Multivariate Regression Model Higher diligence level in due diligence positively impacts M&A performance. Performance commitments affect the relationship by encouraging truthful disclosures and active integration. Statistical analysis, Multivariate regression models Limited to Chinese A-share market; future studies can explore cross-market comparisons and long-term impacts of performance commitments.
Shi and Wang (2020) Develop an M&A matching method using DEA-based performance perspective that incorporates irrational behavior. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) with a prospect value optimisation goal and cross-efficiency modelling Proposed method effectively optimises two-sided M&A matching and can be used in third-party platforms for recommendation services. DEA, Prospect value, Cross-efficiency modelling Assumes availability of comprehensive data; future work could test the method's applicability in different industries and regions.
Li et al. (2021) Investigate GNN application in M&A forecasting by quantifying statistical associations among firms, founders, and investors. Graph Neural Networks (GNN), Text analysis, Feature engineering Achieved an AUC of 0.952 and an 83% true positive rate in predicting M&A outcomes. Graph Neural Networks, Text analysis, Statistical analysis Focused on specific data sources, future studies could incorporate more diverse datasets and assess scalability in real-time predictions.
Lang (2021) Evaluate technical and potential efficiency in virtual M&A using listed commercial banks in China as case studies. Three-stage DEA and Bootstrap DEA Virtual M&A is generally beneficial, but efficiency of M&A does not guarantee technical or potential efficiency post-M&A. Three-stage DEA, Bootstrap DEA Limited to banking sector; future research could apply the methodology to other industries and refine efficiency evaluation criteria.
Wang (2021) Explore characteristics of enterprises and industries adopting M&A strategies in the U.S. (1978–2007) and their growth post-M&A. Statistical analysis of historical M&A data using Stata M&A strategic activities can lead to growth in scale, capital, and output value, varying by enterprise and industry. Stata statistical analysis Covers a specific timeframe; future work could explore post-2007 trends and technological influences on M&A strategies.
Venuti (2021) Utilise Graph SAGE framework to predict M&A of enterprise companies. Graph SAGE (Graph-based Machine Learning Framework) Achieved 81.79% prediction accuracy, showcasing the effectiveness of graph-based ML for financial data science and M&A predictions. Graph SAGE, Graph-based ML Relies on graph structure assumptions; future research could test performance with more complex graph datasets and hybrid ML models.