AI for Time Series and Anomaly Detection

Table 1.

Comparison of Traditional, Machine Learning, and DeepLearning Approaches for Time Series Forecasting and Anomaly Detection

Approach Type Representative Models / Techniques Key Features Strengths Limitations Key References

Traditional Statistical Models ARIMA, SARIMA, Holt-Winters, Exponential Smoothing Assume linearity and stationarity; rely on historical trends Simple, interpretable, computationally efficient Poor for nonlinear/multivariate data; sensitive to noise and nonstationarity Hyndman & Athanasopoulos (2021); Zhang & Kim (2022)
Statistical Anomaly Detection Z-score, Grubbs’ test, Control Charts Detects deviations from mean or standard deviation thresholds Easy to implement; interpretable Fails with non-Gaussian data and dynamic thresholds Ahmed et al. (2023)
Machine Learning Models SVM, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Prophet, Hybrid ARIMA-ML Data-driven, nonlinear modeling No need for strict statistical assumptions; flexible Heavy feature engineering; limited temporal awareness Wang & Zhou (2023); Pérez-Chacón et al. (2022)
Deep Learning Models (Sequential) RNN, LSTM, GRU Capture temporal dependencies; learn directly from data Effective for sequence learning; strong predictive accuracy Vanishing gradient; limited scalability Lim & Zohren (2021)
Deep Learning Models (Convolutional) Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCN) Uses dilated convolutions for long-term patterns Parallelizable; efficient May overlook global temporal context Bai et al. (2023)
Transformer-Based Models Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), Informer, TimesNet Self-attention for long-range dependencies; interpretable embeddings High scalability; superior multivariate handling Requires large datasets and tuning Xu et al. (2024); Lai et al. (2023)
AI-Based Anomaly Detection Autoencoder, VAE, GAN, GNN, Attention-based models Learn representations of normal behavior to flag deviations Works in unsupervised settings; handles multivariate data Limited interpretability; high computation Darban et al. (2022); Iqbal et al. (2024); Chiranjeevi et al. (2024)
Emerging Hybrid / Edge Models Physics-informed NN, Federated Learning, XAI frameworks Combines interpretability, causality, and scalability Explainable; data-efficient; privacy-preserving Still developing; less standardized Lee & Park (2024); Chen et al. (2024); Méndez et al. (2024)