Modelling Population Growth Prognosis

Table 2.

Population simulation showing different models.

Year Time(t) NPC Data Exponential Model Logistic Model Sensitivity Model

2007 0 1,543,293 1,543,293 1,543,293 143527.0452
2008 1 1,693,706 1,693,707 1,693,706 157514.1336
2009 2 1,858,777 1,858,780 1,858,777 172864.0015
2010 3 2,039,937 2,039,942 2,039,934 189709.3651
2011 4 2,238,752 2,238,761 2,238,744 208195.8528
2012 5 2,456,945 2,456,957 2,456,928 228483.2589
2013 6 2,696,403 2,696,419 2,696,372 250746.9188
2014 7 2,959,199 2,959,219 2,959,147 275179.2161
2015 8 3,247,608 3,247,633 3,247,526 301991.2366
2016 9 3,564,126 3,564,157 3,564,002 331414.5804
2039 32   30,263,745 30,220,701 2805784.642
2060 53   213,357,987 210,817,405 19363987.38
2090 83   3,473,789,823 2,884,739,754 222633388.4
2107 100   16,882,256,619 8,461,080,785 394039070.4
2110 103   22,315,157,725 9,635,825,443 386620577.9
2150 143   920,858,296,579 16,640,479,158 27931803.21
2199 192   87,759,479,694,267 16,943,045,374 303716.9377