|
| |
|
Risk Probability (p) |
|
|
Risk Severity (s) |
|
|
|
|
| Critical Risk Factors |
Mean Probability |
Weighting (wn) of CRF |
Total mean of CRFG |
Weighting (wi) of CRFG |
Mean Severity |
Weighting (wn) of CRF |
Total mean of CRFG |
Weighting (wi) of CRFG |
|
|
|
| Availability of Finance, u11 |
6.60 |
0.116 |
|
|
6.54 |
0.116 |
|
|
|
|
|
| High Finance cost, u12 |
6.27 |
0.110 |
|
|
6.22 |
0.111 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Unstable Value of Local Currency, u13 |
5.78 |
0.102 |
|
|
5.68 |
0.101 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lack of creditworthiness, u14 |
5.67 |
0.100 |
|
|
5.68 |
0.101 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Influential Economic Events (Boom/Recession), u15 |
5.55 |
0.098 |
|
|
5.41 |
0.096 |
|
|
|
|
|
| High Bidding cost, u16 |
5.52 |
0.097 |
|
|
5.38 |
0.096 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Poor Financial Market, u17 |
5.43 |
0.096 |
|
|
5.46 |
0.097 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Financial attraction to project investors, u18 |
5.40 |
0.095 |
|
|
5.36 |
0.095 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Interest rate volatility, u19 |
5.19 |
0.091 |
|
|
5.47 |
0.097 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Inflation rate volatility, u110 |
5.39 |
0.095 |
|
|
5.06 |
0.090 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Financial and Macroeconomic risk (CRFG 1): u1 |
|
|
56.80 |
0.327 |
|
|
56.28 |
0.322 |
|
|
|
| Corruption and lack of respect for Law, u21 |
6.06 |
0.119 |
|
|
6.03 |
0.118 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Non-involvement of the host community, u22 |
6.06 |
0.119 |
|
|
5.90 |
0.116 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Poor execution of Housing Policies, u23 |
6.06 |
0.119 |
|
|
5.88 |
0.115 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Wrong perception of housing need by low-income earners, u24 |
5.97 |
0.117 |
|
|
5.98 |
0.117 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Illegal Title to Land, u25 |
5.94 |
0.117 |
|
|
5.90 |
0.116 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Poor decision-making process, u26 |
5.38 |
0.106 |
|
|
5.45 |
0.107 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Change in Government, u27 |
5.24 |
0.189 |
|
|
5.30 |
0.188 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Land Grabbing/Encroachment, u28 |
4.95 |
0.097 |
|
|
5.52 |
0.108 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Public opposition to the mass housing projects, u29 |
5.22 |
0.103 |
|
|
5.15 |
0.101 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Legal and Socio-political risk (CRFG 2): u2 |
|
|
50.88 |
0.293 |
|
|
51.10 |
0.292 |
|
|
|
| Inadequate experience in PPP, u31 |
5.75 |
0.208 |
|
|
5.79 |
0.205 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Inadequate distribution of responsibility and risks, u32 |
5.53 |
0.199 |
|
|
5.76 |
0.204 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Risk regarding Pricing of Product/service, u33 |
5.62 |
0.203 |
|
|
5.57 |
0.197 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Lack of Commitment from Public/Private Partners, u34 |
5.47 |
0.197 |
|
|
5.60 |
0.199 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Inadequate distribution of Authority between Partners, u35 |
5.34 |
0.193 |
|
|
5.51 |
0.195 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Operation and Organization risk (CRFG 3): u3 |
|
|
27.71 |
0.159 |
|
|
28.23 |
0.161 |
|
|
|
| Land acquisition and Site availability, u41 |
5.91 |
0.261 |
|
|
5.92 |
0.262 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Level of Demand for the mass housing projects, u42 |
5.82 |
0.257 |
|
|
5.83 |
0.258 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Prolonged negotiation period before initiation, u43 |
5.55 |
0.245 |
|
|
5.48 |
0.243 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Delay in Project approvals and permits, u44 |
5.34 |
0.236 |
|
|
5.34 |
0.236 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Design and Project Selection risk (CRFG 4): u4 |
|
|
22.62 |
0.130 |
|
|
22.57 |
0.129 |
|
|
|
| Construction time delay, u51 |
5.39 |
0.341 |
|
|
5.62 |
0.337 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Construction cost overrun, u52 |
5.26 |
0.332 |
|
|
5.50 |
0.330 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Force Majeure, u53 |
5.17 |
0.327 |
|
|
5.54 |
0.333 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Construction risk (CRFG 5): u5 |
|
|
15.82 |
0.091 |
|
|
16.66 |
0.095 |
|
|
|
|
| Total Mean / Normalized Value of CRFG |
|
|
173.83 |
1.00 |
|
|
174.84 |
1.00 |
|
|
|
|
