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Leveraging Machine Learning Techniques for Predictive Analysis in Merger and Acquisition (M&A)

Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data | Vol 3, Issue 1

Table 1. Literature review summary for the mergers andacquisitions (M&A) analysis

Authors & YearFocus/ObjectiveMethodologyKey FindingsTools/TechniquesLimitations and Future Work
Yan, Nie, and Fan (2020)Verify the mechanism of due diligence impact on M&A performance using data from Chinese A-share market (2011–2018).Multivariate Regression ModelHigher diligence level in due diligence positively impacts M&A performance. Performance commitments affect the relationship by encouraging truthful disclosures and active integration.Statistical analysis, Multivariate regression modelsLimited to Chinese A-share market; future studies can explore cross-market comparisons and long-term impacts of performance commitments.
Shi and Wang (2020)Develop an M&A matching method using DEA-based performance perspective that incorporates irrational behavior.Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) with a prospect value optimisation goal and cross-efficiency modellingProposed method effectively optimises two-sided M&A matching and can be used in third-party platforms for recommendation services.DEA, Prospect value, Cross-efficiency modellingAssumes availability of comprehensive data; future work could test the method's applicability in different industries and regions.
Li et al. (2021)Investigate GNN application in M&A forecasting by quantifying statistical associations among firms, founders, and investors.Graph Neural Networks (GNN), Text analysis, Feature engineeringAchieved an AUC of 0.952 and an 83% true positive rate in predicting M&A outcomes.Graph Neural Networks, Text analysis, Statistical analysisFocused on specific data sources, future studies could incorporate more diverse datasets and assess scalability in real-time predictions.
Lang (2021)Evaluate technical and potential efficiency in virtual M&A using listed commercial banks in China as case studies.Three-stage DEA and Bootstrap DEAVirtual M&A is generally beneficial, but efficiency of M&A does not guarantee technical or potential efficiency post-M&A.Three-stage DEA, Bootstrap DEALimited to banking sector; future research could apply the methodology to other industries and refine efficiency evaluation criteria.
Wang (2021)Explore characteristics of enterprises and industries adopting M&A strategies in the U.S. (1978–2007) and their growth post-M&A.Statistical analysis of historical M&A data using StataM&A strategic activities can lead to growth in scale, capital, and output value, varying by enterprise and industry.Stata statistical analysisCovers a specific timeframe; future work could explore post-2007 trends and technological influences on M&A strategies.
Venuti (2021)Utilise Graph SAGE framework to predict M&A of enterprise companies.Graph SAGE (Graph-based Machine Learning Framework)Achieved 81.79% prediction accuracy, showcasing the effectiveness of graph-based ML for financial data science and M&A predictions.Graph SAGE, Graph-based MLRelies on graph structure assumptions; future research could test performance with more complex graph datasets and hybrid ML models.