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Open Access April 16, 2022

Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate

Abstract The Nigerian Government both previous and present has introduced several policies and programmes to reduce or proffer remedial measures to militate against the negative impact of high inflationary levels on the Nigerian economy. All these measures have not led to a productive result as the inflation rate has continued to sour higher over the years. This paper aimed at examining the economic [...] Read more.
The Nigerian Government both previous and present has introduced several policies and programmes to reduce or proffer remedial measures to militate against the negative impact of high inflationary levels on the Nigerian economy. All these measures have not led to a productive result as the inflation rate has continued to sour higher over the years. This paper aimed at examining the economic influence of the determinant factors that influence inflationary trends that are multi-dimensional and dynamic which continue to defy solutions. The data used for this work was sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics and Central Bank of Nigeria, from 1983 to 2020. The ordinary least square approach was used to analyze the data and the result shows that consumer’s price index, interest rate and total export has a positive effect on Nigeria inflation, but only the Consumer’s Price Index (CPI) have a statistically significant effect on the Nigeria inflation at 99% confidence interval. Result also shows that the exchange rate, foreign reserve, money supply, real GDP, real income and total imports has a negative effect though not statistically significant on the Nigeria inflation rate. The result of the granger causality test shows exchange rate and total imports to granger cause Nigeria inflation. It is recommended that Government should improve locally manufacture products to meet international demands to reduce total imports.
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Open Access August 14, 2021

Oil shocks and the Economic Growth: A Study for Oil-importing and Exporting Countries in the Time of Covid-19

Abstract This article discusses the effect of the oil shock on some OECD oil-importing countries such as Canada, France, Italy, China, and the United States and some OPEC oil-exporting countries such as Algeria, Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela. The model is estimated for the years 1976-2021. five annual variables are used for each country. The variables within the model include real oil prices, [...] Read more.
This article discusses the effect of the oil shock on some OECD oil-importing countries such as Canada, France, Italy, China, and the United States and some OPEC oil-exporting countries such as Algeria, Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela. The model is estimated for the years 1976-2021. five annual variables are used for each country. The variables within the model include real oil prices, GDP growth, inflation, real wages, and real effective exchange rates. Real GDP is the main variable that shows the effects of oil prices on the economy, and the impact of oil prices on other model variables will indirectly affect economic activities. For this purpose, we estimate the vector autoregression model. Estimates obtained for different countries show that oil price shocks are one of the variables affecting economic growth. Also, in oil-exporting countries, oil shocks on economic growth are positive and negative in oil-importing countries. Also, Covid-19 is studied as an effective parameter in creating oil shocks.
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