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Evaluation of the Critical risk factors in PPP - procured Mass Housing Projects in Abuja Nigeria - A fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) approach

World Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture | Vol 2, Issue 1

Table 3. Classification of Critical RiskFactors (CRFs) into Critical Risk Factors Group (CRFG)

Critical Risk Factors and CategoryRisk impactOverall RankingRanking within category
Financial and Macroeconomic risk (CRFG 1): u1
Availability of Finance, u116.5711
High Finance cost, u126.2522
Unstable Value of Local Currency, u135.73113
Lack of creditworthiness, u145.67124
Influential Economic Events (Boom/Recession), u155.48185
High Bidding cost, u165.45196
Poor Financial Market, u175.45207
Financial attraction to project investors, u185.38238
Interest rate volatility, u195.33279
Inflation rate volatility, u1105.222910
Legal and Socio-political risk (CRFG 2): u2
Corruption and lack of respect for Law, u216.0431
Non-involvement of the host community, u225.9842
Poor execution of Housing Policies, u235.9753
Wrong perception of housing need by low-income earners, u245.9764
Illegal Title to Land, u255.9275
Poor decision-making process, u265.41226
Change in Government, u275.27287
Land Grabbing/Encroachment, u285.22308
Public opposition to the mass housing projects, u295.19319
Operation and Organization risk (CRFG 3): u3   
Inadequate experience in PPP, u315.77101
Inadequate distribution of responsibility and risks, u325.64132
Risk regarding Pricing of Product/service, u335.59143
Lack of Commitment from Public/Private Partners, u345.53154
Inadequate distribution of Authority between Partners, u355.43215
Design and Project Selection risk (CRFG 4): u4   
Land acquisition and Site availability, u415.9181
Level of Demand for the mass housing projects, u425.8392
Prolonged negotiation period before initiation, u435.52163
Delay in Project approvals and permits, u445.34264
Construction risk (CRFG 5): u5   
Construction time delay, u515.50171
Construction cost overrun, u525.38242
Force Majeure, u535.36253