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Open Access December 22, 2025

Reimagining Mathematical Modeling for a Responsive and Integrated Future in Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Abstract Mathematical modeling plays a central role in infectious disease epidemiology, shaping outbreak response strategies and informing public health policy. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the value of these models but also exposed persistent limitations related to data fragility, lack of transparency, limited stakeholder engagement, and insufficient consideration of social and political contexts. [...] Read more.
Mathematical modeling plays a central role in infectious disease epidemiology, shaping outbreak response strategies and informing public health policy. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the value of these models but also exposed persistent limitations related to data fragility, lack of transparency, limited stakeholder engagement, and insufficient consideration of social and political contexts. Rather than critiquing modeling as a discipline, this perspective argues for a reorientation of infectious disease modeling toward a more responsive, equity-centered, and participatory paradigm. We propose a conceptual framework built on three interrelated principles: adaptability through real-time data integration, transparency via open-source and reproducible practices, and relevance through interdisciplinary and co-produced model design. Drawing on illustrative examples from COVID-19 and dengue control efforts, we highlight how integrating behavioral dynamics, local knowledge, and policy feedback can improve model usefulness and public trust. Reconceptualizing models as dynamic systems of inquiry rather than static forecasting tools can enhance decision-making and promote more equitable and effective responses to future public health emergencies.
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Open Access September 07, 2024

Stable Relationships

Abstract We study a dynamic model of the relationship between two people where the states depend on the “power” in the relationship. We perform a comprehensive analysis of stability of the system, and determine a set of conditions under which stable relationships are possible. In particular, stable relationships can occur if both people are dominant, but the sum of dominances is below a bound determined by [...] Read more.
We study a dynamic model of the relationship between two people where the states depend on the “power” in the relationship. We perform a comprehensive analysis of stability of the system, and determine a set of conditions under which stable relationships are possible. In particular, stable relationships can occur if both people are dominant, but the sum of dominances is below a bound determined by the model’s parameters. Stable relationships can also occur if one person is dominant and the other is submissive, provided the level of dominance exceeds the level of submissiveness but not beyond a threshold. We also conclude that a stable relationship is not possible if both people are submissive. While our model is motivated by a social or romantic relationship, it can also be applied to professional or business relationships, diplomatic relationships between nations, and certain biological interactions between organisms and between automated agents or robots.
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Query parameters

Keyword:  Dynamic System

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